A recent report from Goldman Sachs projects a nearly 50% drop in EV battery costs by 2026, with prices expected to fall from $149 per kWh in 2023 to just $80 per kWh.
From July 2023 through summer 2024, battery cell pricing is expected to plummet by more than 60% due to a surge in electric vehicle (EV) adoption and grid expansion in China and the United States. From pv magazine USA
Bloomberg is not the only one predicting that EV battery prices will continue plummeting. Goldman Sachs Research predicts prices will fall 50% by 2026 compared to 2023. At that, prices would slip below $80 per kWh, down from $149 per kWh in 2023. Add Electrek to your Google News feed.
How much will battery electric cars cost in 2026?
Our researchers forecast that average battery prices could fall towards $80/kWh by 2026, amounting to a drop of almost 50% from 2023, a level at which battery electric vehicles would achieve ownership cost parity with gasoline-fueled cars in the US on an unsubsidized basis. Source: Company data, Wood Mackenzie, SNE Research, Goldman Sachs Research
According to the survey, average battery prices are expected to slip below $100 per kWh as soon as 2026. This is widely considered the “price parity” threshold with ICE vehicles. By 2030, prices could fall as low as $69 per kWh. The study also points out that geopolitical uncertainties and slower demand could impact pricing.
Are EV battery prices falling?
EV battery prices are plummeting, falling faster than most expected. This year will mark the steepest decline since 2017. With new tech and cheaper alternatives hitting the market, electric vehicles will soon be even more affordable than their gas-powered counterparts.
Will a drop in green metal prices push electric vehicle battery prices lower?
Technology advances that have allowed electric vehicle battery makers to increase energy density, combined with a drop in green metal prices, will push battery prices lower than previously expected, according to Goldman Sachs Research.